Peepsmobile

A daily synopsis from the boss

I can’t complain October 17, 2007

Filed under: Uncategorized — peepsmobile @ 6:55 am

I have discovered a new concept on the interwebs, the 30 day free trail.  It works this way, take any thing in your life that you want to change or try and give it 30 days.  Springing into action I immediately signed myself up for several trials, the first being “I will not complain”.  What do I have to complain about anyways in the grand scheme of things.

My next move was to jam everything in my life that I ever wanted to do into a 30 day free trial.  For the first several days this was wondrous but it began to feel like I had signed myself up for bottled water delivery service and just couldn’t keep up.  And then, I couldn’t keep up.

And then I failed.  Now we all know that failing sucks so imagine the order of magnitude at failing at the trial.   Devastating.

Or not so devastating?  I did get to keep the free gift, lessons learned.  I can always re institute the trial later?  I’m still not complaining….Am I.

 

Ouch, I am my own worst enemy September 12, 2007

Filed under: Uncategorized — peepsmobile @ 2:33 pm

7 Stupid Thinking Errors You Probably Make – lifehack.org

 

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The brain isn’t a flawless piece of machinery. Although it is powerful and comes in an easy to carry container, it has it’s weaknesses. A field in psychology which studies these errors, known as biases. Although you can’t upgrade your mental hardware, noticing these biases can clue you into possible mistakes.

How Bias Hurts You

If you were in a canoe, you’d probably want to know about any holes in the boat before you start paddling. Biases can be holes in your reasoning abilities and they can impair your decision making.

Simply noticing these holes isn’t enough; a canoe will fill with water whether you are aware of a hole or not. But by being aware of the holes you can devise methods to patch them up. The entire domain of the scientific method has largely been an effort to overcome the natural inclination towards bias in reasoning.

Biases hurt you in a number of areas:

  • Decision making. A number of biases can distort decision making. The confirmation bias can lead you to discount information that opposes existing theories. Anchoring can throw off negotiations by forcing you to sit around an arbitrary value.
  • Problem solving. Biases can impede your creativity when solving problems. A framing bias can cause you to look at a problem too narrowly. And the illusion of control can cause you to overestimate the amount your actions influence results.
  • Learning. Thinking errors also impact how you learn. The Von Restorff effect can cause you to overemphasize some information compared to the whole. Clustering illusions can also trick you into thinking you’ve learned more than you actually have.

Here are some common thinking errors:

1) Confirmation Bias

The confirmation bias is a tendency to seek information to prove, rather than disprove our theories. The problem arises because often, one piece of false evidence can completely invalidate the otherwise supporting factors.

Consider a study conducted by Peter Cathcart Wason. In the study, Wason showed participants a triplet of numbers (2, 4, 6) and asked them to guess the rule for which the pattern followed. From that, participants could offer test triplets to see if their rule held.

From this starting point, most participants picked specific rules such as “goes up by 2“ or “1x, 2x, 3x.” By only guessing triplets that fit their rule, they didn’t realize the actual rule was “any three ascending numbers.” A simple test triplet of “3, 15, 317“ would have invalidated their theories.

2) Hindsight Bias

Known more commonly under “hindsight is 20/20“ this bias causes people to see past results as appearing more probable than they did initially. This was demonstrated in a study by Paul Lazarsfeld in which he gave participants statements that seemed like common sense. In reality, the opposite of the statements was true.

3) Clustering Illusion

This is the tendency to see patterns where none actually exist. A study conducted by Thomas Gilovich, showed people were easily misled to think patterns existed in random sequences. Although this may be a necessary by product of our ability to detect patterns, it can create problems.

The clustering illusion can result in superstitions and falling for pseudoscience when patterns seem to emerge from entirely random events.

4) Recency Effect

The recency effect is the tendency to give more weight to recent data. Studies have shown participants can more easily remember information at the end of a list than from the middle. The existence of this bias makes it important to gather enough long-term data, so daily up’s and down’s don’t lead to bad decisions.

5) Anchoring Bias

Anchoring is a well-known problem with negotiations. The first person to state a number will usually force the other person to give a new number based on the first. Anchoring happens even when the number is completely random. In one study, participants spun a wheel that either pointed to 15 or 65. They were then asked the number of countries in Africa that belonged to the UN. Even though the number was arbitrary, answers tended to cluster around either 15 or 65.

6) Overconfidence Effect

And you were worried about having too little confidence? Studies have shown that people tend to grossly overestimate their abilities and characteristics from where they should. More than 80% of drivers place themselves in the top 30%.

One study asked participants to answer a difficult question with a range of values to which they were 95% certain the actual answer lay. Despite the fact there was no penalty for extreme uncertainty, less than half of the answers lay within the original margin.

7) Fundamental Attribution Error

Mistaking personality and character traits for differences caused by situations. A classic study demonstrating this had participants rate speakers who were speaking for or against Fidel Castro. Even if the participants were told the position of the speaker was determined by a coin toss, they rated the attitudes of the speaker as being closer to the side they were forced to speak on.

Studies have shown that it is difficult to out-think these cognitive biases. Even when participants in different studies were warned about bias beforehand, this had little impact on their ability to see past them.

What an understanding of biases can do is allow you to design decision making methods and procedures so that biases can be circumvented. Researchers use double-blind studies to prevent bias from contaminating results. Making adjustments to your decision making, problem solving and learning patterns you can try to reduce their effects.

 

Who will finish the Rio-Norte Line? September 12, 2007

Filed under: Uncategorized — peepsmobile @ 1:49 pm

I guess that sometimes fiction is truth.  It is amazing that with the repetitive nature of CYCLES that people, organizations, businesses; you name it; never see their role in the larger cycle.  It is always interesting when a link in a chain that has been there a very very long time disappears completely without a viable replacement.   Entities both upstream and downstream end up suffering and withering as a result.

All systems are interdependent, be it a supplier or a rain forest.

Quaker Fabric likely to shut down

Says it is unable to meet loan terms FALL RIVER, Mass. — Fabric supplier Quaker Fabric said Monday it will likely shut down and liquidate its assets because it is unable to meet the terms of its lending agreements.

As a result, lenders will only advance funds to the company on a discretionary basis.

Click here!

There is “significant uncertainty” as to whether the company will have enough liquidity to continue operations after its annual shutdown period, which runs from July 2 to July 15, Quaker said in a press release.The company said it is in talks with existing lenders about financing needed to conduct an orderly liquidation and sale. Quaker does not anticipate generating sufficient funds to pay common stock holders through liquidation, which would render the stock worthless.

Quaker also said it is seeking alternative sources of liquidity, including debt, equity or a combination of debt and equity financing.

The company has reported a string of quarterly sales declines and losses. In the first quarter of this year, it posted a loss of $5.1 million on sales of $32.6 million, which were down 29.6% from the same period a year earlier.

In announcing the results in April, Quaker President and CEO Larry Liebenow had called 2007 “a key transition year” for the company and said the primary emphasis would be on “increasing overall sales, striking the right balance between domestic production and global sourcing, achieving costs consistent with our sales, and generating adequate cash flows.”

The company also has been working to sell assets no longer needed to support is declining domestic fabric business. Earlier this year it announced a pair of deals to sell two plants in Fall River for a total of $7.6 million, although the transactions were not expected to close until early September.

 

Loud Doesn’t mean Right September 11, 2007

Filed under: Uncategorized — peepsmobile @ 1:22 pm

How to Handle a Jackass

Bill O’Reilly gets his ass kicked by Phil Donahue!

 

Me So Sorry I can’t vote 4 U September 11, 2007

Filed under: Uncategorized — peepsmobile @ 1:14 pm

Why I can no longer vote for Ron Paul

I understand that BO’R is a necessary evil on the political circuit. However, Presidential in my mind is not letting him run the show with his mouth to your detriment. I would sooner have said nothing than appear confused as the “No Spin Zone” left RP

 

Hero….Villain…. You Decide August 31, 2007

Filed under: Uncategorized — peepsmobile @ 4:30 pm

Thomas Edison

What He’s Remembered For
Invented radio, microwaves, primitive radar systems, the lightbulb and electricity

Why You Should Hate Him
He did not invent the light bulb. Edison was not the smartest scientist around—not by a long shot. He did, however, hire a brilliant man named Nikola Tesla, who luckily was.

Tesla is responsible for radio, microwaves, primitive radar systems and the electricity we use today, which Edison gets credit for. The truth is that Edison hired Tesla to redesign his electrical generators. Tesla did, but when he asked for the $50,000 he was promised, Edison replied, and this is a direct quote, “Tesla, you don’t understand our American humor,” and paid him only in middle fingers.

Tesla quit and tried to strengthen his electrical discoveries in an effort to provide free energy for the entire world, but Edison and his thugs at General Electric devoted time not spent on stealing patents to making sure that the rest of the scientific community thought Tesla was crazy and dangerous. Tesla died alone and in serious amounts of debt. Edison died on a pile of money in a “Suck it, Tesla” T-shirt that he did not design.

 

Urban Legends Reference Pages: Hurricane Isabel August 13, 2007

Filed under: Uncategorized — peepsmobile @ 12:09 pm
 

Introverts of the World, Unite! July 3, 2007

Filed under: Uncategorized — peepsmobile @ 5:04 am

and third…Please No Talking

Do you know someone who needs hours alone every day? Who loves quiet conversations about feelings or ideas, and can give a dynamite presentation to a big audience, but seems awkward in groups and maladroit at small talk? Who has to be dragged to parties and then needs the rest of the day to recuperate? Who growls or scowls or grunts or winces when accosted with pleasantries by people who are just trying to be nice?

If so, do you tell this person he is “too serious,” or ask if he is okay? Regard him as aloof, arrogant, rude? Redouble your efforts to draw him out?

If you answered yes to these questions, chances are that you have an introvert on your hands—and that you aren’t caring for him properly. Science has learned a good deal in recent years about the habits and requirements of introverts. It has even learned, by means of brain scans, that introverts process information differently from other people (I am not making this up). If you are behind the curve on this important matter, be reassured that you are not alone. Introverts may be common, but they are also among the most misunderstood and aggrieved groups in America, possibly the world.

I know. My name is Jonathan, and I am an introvert.

Oh, for years I denied it. After all, I have good social skills. I am not morose or misanthropic. Usually. I am far from shy. I love long conversations that explore intimate thoughts or passionate interests. But at last I have self-identified and come out to my friends and colleagues. In doing so, I have found myself liberated from any number of damaging misconceptions and stereotypes. Now I am here to tell you what you need to know in order to respond sensitively and supportively to your own introverted family members, friends, and colleagues. Remember, someone you know, respect, and interact with every day is an introvert, and you are probably driving this person nuts. It pays to learn the warning signs.

What is introversion? In its modern sense, the concept goes back to the 1920s and the psychologist Carl Jung. Today it is a mainstay of personality tests, including the widely used Myers-Briggs Type Indicator. Introverts are not necessarily shy. Shy people are anxious or frightened or self-excoriating in social settings; introverts generally are not. Introverts are also not misanthropic, though some of us do go along with Sartre as far as to say “Hell is other people at breakfast.” Rather, introverts are people who find other people tiring.

Extroverts are energized by people, and wilt or fade when alone. They often seem bored by themselves, in both senses of the expression. Leave an extrovert alone for two minutes and he will reach for his cell phone. In contrast, after an hour or two of being socially “on,” we introverts need to turn off and recharge. My own formula is roughly two hours alone for every hour of socializing. This isn’t antisocial. It isn’t a sign of depression. It does not call for medication. For introverts, to be alone with our thoughts is as restorative as sleeping, as nourishing as eating. Our motto: “I’m okay, you’re okay—in small doses.”

How many people are introverts? I performed exhaustive research on this question, in the form of a quick Google search. The answer: About 25 percent. Or: Just under half. Or—my favorite—”a minority in the regular population but a majority in the gifted population.”

Are introverts misunderstood? Wildly. That, it appears, is our lot in life. “It is very difficult for an extrovert to understand an introvert,” write the education experts Jill D. Burruss and Lisa Kaenzig. (They are also the source of the quotation in the previous paragraph.) Extroverts are easy for introverts to understand, because extroverts spend so much of their time working out who they are in voluble, and frequently inescapable, interaction with other people. They are as inscrutable as puppy dogs. But the street does not run both ways. Extroverts have little or no grasp of introversion. They assume that company, especially their own, is always welcome. They cannot imagine why someone would need to be alone; indeed, they often take umbrage at the suggestion. As often as I have tried to explain the matter to extroverts, I have never sensed that any of them really understood. They listen for a moment and then go back to barking and yipping.

Are introverts oppressed? I would have to say so. For one thing, extroverts are overrepresented in politics, a profession in which only the garrulous are really comfortable. Look at George W. Bush. Look at Bill Clinton. They seem to come fully to life only around other people. To think of the few introverts who did rise to the top in politics—Calvin Coolidge, Richard Nixon—is merely to drive home the point. With the possible exception of Ronald Reagan, whose fabled aloofness and privateness were probably signs of a deep introverted streak (many actors, I’ve read, are introverts, and many introverts, when socializing, feel like actors), introverts are not considered “naturals” in politics.

Extroverts therefore dominate public life. This is a pity. If we introverts ran the world, it would no doubt be a calmer, saner, more peaceful sort of place. As Coolidge is supposed to have said, “Don’t you know that four fifths of all our troubles in this life would disappear if we would just sit down and keep still?” (He is also supposed to have said, “If you don’t say anything, you won’t be called on to repeat it.” The only thing a true introvert dislikes more than talking about himself is repeating himself.)

With their endless appetite for talk and attention, extroverts also dominate social life, so they tend to set expectations. In our extrovertist society, being outgoing is considered normal and therefore desirable, a mark of happiness, confidence, leadership. Extroverts are seen as bighearted, vibrant, warm, empathic. “People person” is a compliment. Introverts are described with words like “guarded,” “loner,” “reserved,” “taciturn,” “self-contained,” “private”—narrow, ungenerous words, words that suggest emotional parsimony and smallness of personality. Female introverts, I suspect, must suffer especially. In certain circles, particularly in the Midwest, a man can still sometimes get away with being what they used to call a strong and silent type; introverted women, lacking that alternative, are even more likely than men to be perceived as timid, withdrawn, haughty.

Are introverts arrogant? Hardly. I suppose this common misconception has to do with our being more intelligent, more reflective, more independent, more level-headed, more refined, and more sensitive than extroverts. Also, it is probably due to our lack of small talk, a lack that extroverts often mistake for disdain. We tend to think before talking, whereas extroverts tend to think by talking, which is why their meetings never last less than six hours. “Introverts,” writes a perceptive fellow named Thomas P. Crouser, in an online review of a recent book called Why Should Extroverts Make All the Money? (I’m not making that up, either), “are driven to distraction by the semi-internal dialogue extroverts tend to conduct. Introverts don’t outwardly complain, instead roll their eyes and silently curse the darkness.” Just so.

The worst of it is that extroverts have no idea of the torment they put us through. Sometimes, as we gasp for air amid the fog of their 98-percent-content-free talk, we wonder if extroverts even bother to listen to themselves. Still, we endure stoically, because the etiquette books—written, no doubt, by extroverts—regard declining to banter as rude and gaps in conversation as awkward. We can only dream that someday, when our condition is more widely understood, when perhaps an Introverts’ Rights movement has blossomed and borne fruit, it will not be impolite to say “I’m an introvert. You are a wonderful person and I like you. But now please shush.”

How can I let the introvert in my life know that I support him and respect his choice? First, recognize that it’s not a choice. It’s not a lifestyle. It’s an orientation .

Second, when you see an introvert lost in thought, don’t say “What’s the matter?” or “Are you all right?”

Third, don’t say anything else, either.

 

Iphone with an Ayn reference oh my June 30, 2007

Filed under: Uncategorized — peepsmobile @ 7:07 am

Who is John Galt…er…I meant John Appleseed –
O’Reilly Mac DevCenter Blog
Erica Sadun
Who is John Galt…er…I meant John Appleseed

* listen Speech Icon

Thursday June 7, 2007 8:57AM
by Erica Sadun in News

JohnAppleseedSmall.jpg

I may have discovered where all those names from the iPhone commercials are coming from: the class lists of a small Australian High School. The names database from Tumut High School, New South Wales contains a John Appleseed, Class of 1981 and a Shaun David Taylor, Class of 1989. For a while, I was stymied by the lack of an Anna Haro–until I discovered Sharon Anne Diversi (Mclerie), Class of 1991. Maybe it’s a little stretch but the “haro” part of Sharon and the Anne/Anna names do seem to match. Images after the jump.

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Witch way do I go? Witch way do I go? June 26, 2007

Filed under: Uncategorized — peepsmobile @ 11:54 am

Ok, So I had this Freaken A Awesome post all ready for new music Tuesday.  And then it happened A double horoscope.  What does this mean?  Does A supersede B ?  Do I just get twice the nonsense today?  Can I pick the better one?  Does the universe print retractions?

They both seem to be good I think I’ll just keep one in the bank 

9.50a horror scope

June 26, 2007
Little Gurus
Learning To FollowAs grown-ups, we often approach children with ideas about what we can teach them about this life to which they have so recently arrived. It’s true that we have important information to convey, but children are here to teach us just as much as we are here to teach them. They are so new to the world and far less burdened with preconceived notions about the people, situations, and objects they encounter. They do not avoid people on the basis of appearance, nor do they regard shoes as having only one function. They can be fascinated for half an hour with a pot and a lid, and they are utterly unself-conscious in their emotional expressions. They live their lives fully immersed in the present moment, seeing everything with the open-mindedness born of unknowing. This enables them to inhabit a state of spontaneity, curiosity, and pure excitement about the world that we, as adults, have a hard time accessing. Yet almost every spiritual path calls us to rediscover this way of seeing. ! In this sense, children are truly our gurus.

When we approach children with the awareness that they are our teachers, we automatically become more present ourselves. We have to be more present when we follow, looking and listening, responding to their lead. We don’t lapse so easily into the role of the director of activities, surrendering instead to having no agenda at all. As we allow our children to determine the flow of play, they pull us deeper into the mystery of the present moment. In this magical place, we become innocent again, not knowing what will happen next and remembering how to let go and flow.

Since we must also embody the role of loving guide to our children, they teach us how to transition gracefully from following to leading and back again. In doing so, we learn to dance with our children in the present moment, shifting and adjusting as we direct the flow from pretending to be kittens wearing shoes on our heads to making sure everyone is fed and bathed.

8.03 horror scope

June 26, 2007
Contemplative Calm
Sagittarius Daily HoroscopeA calm mood can color your perception of the world around you today, inspiring you to put aside your worldly cares so that you can focus on your inner world needs. As you quiet your thoughts through meditation or meditative activities, you may find that you feel compelled to contemplate your life as it has unfolded up until this point in time. Reflection may not come easily to you today, especially if you are confronted with parts of yourself you do not care for, but the effort you put into introspection will likely make it entirely worthwhile. This can be the perfect time to call to mind issues that may be having a negative impact on your earthly experience as a whole.

The art of living a contemplative life is one that few every truly master, but even our unpracticed attempts to incorporate reflection into our lives can help us attain a more conscious command of our thoughts and feelings. Contemplation promotes calm because it encourages us to get to the bottom of issues that might otherwise have the power to negatively influence our moods. Thinking critically about the unnecessary baggage we have carried for so long provides us with a much-needed opportunity to gain a new understanding of the circumstances that have contributed, in one way or another, to our development. We are then empowered by our conscious awareness of the self to let go of hurt, anger, and resentment. You will feel wonderfully peaceful today after you take the time to bring unaddressed issues into the forefront of your mind.